{"id":31458,"date":"2026-10-28T07:34:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T00:34:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/2026\/10\/28\/elektabilitas-dedi-mulyadi-melesat-prabowo-tertinggal-jauh-saidiman-ahmad-beri-bocoran\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T07:34:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T00:34:39","slug":"elektabilitas-dedi-mulyadi-melesat-prabowo-tertinggal-jauh-saidiman-ahmad-beri-bocoran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/2026\/10\/28\/elektabilitas-dedi-mulyadi-melesat-prabowo-tertinggal-jauh-saidiman-ahmad-beri-bocoran\/","title":{"rendered":"Elektabilitas Dedi Mulyadi Melesat, Prabowo Tertinggal Jauh, Saidiman Ahmad Beri Bocoran"},"content":{"rendered":" \r\n<br><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fajar.co.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp\" \/><br><div>\n\t\t\t\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA \u2014 Elektabilitas Gubernur Jawa Barat Dedi Mulyadi atau KDM menguat di tengah sorotan terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Presiden Prabowo Subianto. Sejumlah hasil survei menempatkan Dedi di posisi teratas dalam bursa calon presiden, meninggalkan Prabowo dan sejumlah tokoh politik lain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Peneliti politik dan kebijakan publik Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC), Saidiman Ahmad, menyoroti fenomena tersebut. Menurut dia, dukungan terhadap Dedi justru meningkat ketika sentimen negatif publik terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Prabowo membesar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dalam simulasi semi terbuka yang disampaikan Saidiman, Dedi meraih dukungan 35,5 persen, jauh di atas tokoh-tokoh potensial lain yang berada di kisaran 8 hingga 10 persen, termasuk Prabowo. Ketika dihadapkan dalam simulasi dua nama melawan Prabowo, dukungan terhadap Dedi mencapai 69,3 persen, sedangkan Prabowo hanya 18,8 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Temuan tersebut memunculkan pertanyaan politik: mengapa dukungan terhadap Dedi menguat ketika kepuasan terhadap pemerintah justru menghadapi tekanan?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Salah satu petunjuknya terlihat dalam survei Indonesia Political Opinion (IPO) bertajuk <em>Refleksi dan Evaluasi Publik: Dua Tahun Kabinet Merah Putih<\/em>. Survei ini memotret kecenderungan pilihan masyarakat terhadap tokoh yang berpotensi maju dalam pemilihan presiden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dalam kategori pilihan spontan atau <em>top of mind<\/em>, Dedi meraih 33,7 persen. Ia menempati posisi pertama, jauh meninggalkan Prabowo yang memperoleh 14,5 persen. Mantan Gubernur DKI Jakarta Anies Baswedan berada di urutan berikutnya dengan 11,3 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perolehan Dedi lebih dari dua kali lipat angka Prabowo. Selisih 19,2 poin persentase itu menunjukkan besarnya jarak di antara keduanya dalam kategori pilihan spontan pada survei tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Posisi Wakil Presiden Gibran Rakabuming Raka juga belum menonjol. Elektabilitasnya tercatat 3,7 persen, menempatkannya di peringkat keenam, di bawah Menteri Koordinator Bidang Infrastruktur Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono atau AHY.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dedi Tetap Unggul dalam Simulasi Nama<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Keunggulan Dedi tidak hanya terlihat ketika responden diminta menyebutkan nama kandidat secara spontan. Dalam simulasi dengan daftar nama, ia tetap berada di posisi teratas dengan elektabilitas 32 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pada simulasi yang sama, Prabowo memperoleh 18,4 persen dan Anies 12,6 persen. Artinya, Prabowo memang mengalami kenaikan dibandingkan hasil pilihan spontan, tetapi belum mampu mendekati perolehan Dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Angka tersebut memperlihatkan perbedaan pola jawaban responden ketika pertanyaan survei disampaikan dalam format yang berbeda.<\/p>\n<center\/>\t        \n\n\n\t\t\t<!-- .entry-footer -->\n\t\t<\/div>\r\n<br>\r\n<br><a href=\"https:\/\/fajar.co.id\/2026\/10\/28\/elektabilitas-dedi-mulyadi-melesat-prabowo-tertinggal-jauh-saidiman-ahmad-beri-bocoran\/\">Source link <\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA \u2014 Elektabilitas Gubernur Jawa Barat Dedi Mulyadi atau KDM menguat di tengah sorotan terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Presiden Prabowo<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":24195,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-150x150.webp","medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-300x225.webp","medium_large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-768x576.webp","large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-1024x768.webp","1536x1536":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-1536x1152.webp","2048x2048":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp.webp","colormag-highlighted-post":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-392x272.webp","colormag-featured-post-medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-390x205.webp","colormag-featured-post-small":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-130x90.webp","colormag-featured-image":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-800x445.webp","colormag-default-news":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-150x150.webp","colormag-featured-image-large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-1400x600.webp"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"Redaksi","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA \u2014 Elektabilitas Gubernur Jawa Barat Dedi Mulyadi atau KDM menguat di tengah sorotan terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Presiden Prabowo","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["News"],"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp.webp",2048,1536,false],"medium":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-300x225.webp",300,225,true],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GBcp3HfasAAlPLF.webp-150x150.webp",150,150,true]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"Redaksi","author_link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/author\/neno\/"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31458"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31458\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24195"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}