{"id":30425,"date":"2026-10-18T06:43:27","date_gmt":"2026-10-17T23:43:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/2026\/10\/18\/sinyal-bahaya-jangankan-dengan-kdm-prabowo-subianto-juga-kalah-dari-gibran-dan-ahy\/"},"modified":"2026-10-18T06:43:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T23:43:27","slug":"sinyal-bahaya-jangankan-dengan-kdm-prabowo-subianto-juga-kalah-dari-gibran-dan-ahy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/2026\/10\/18\/sinyal-bahaya-jangankan-dengan-kdm-prabowo-subianto-juga-kalah-dari-gibran-dan-ahy\/","title":{"rendered":"Sinyal Bahaya! Jangankan dengan KDM, Prabowo Subianto Juga Kalah dari Gibran dan AHY"},"content":{"rendered":" \r\n<br><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fajar.co.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/20240525_113210.jpg\" \/><br><div>\n\t\t\t\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA &#8212; Tingkat kesukaan masyarakat terhadap Presiden Prabowo Subianto semakin merosot dari hari ke hari. Hal itu tercermin dari survei terbaru yang dilakukan Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dari survei tersebut, elektabilitas Prabowo Subianto ketika pilpres digelar saat ini semakin menurut. Dia bahkan bisa kalah dari calon-calon lain yang disimulasikan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Penelitik SMRC, Saidiman Ahmad bahkan menyebut Prabowo semakin tidak diinginkan. Dia tidak hanya terancam kalah dari anak buahnya di Gerindra, Dedi Mulyadi, juga dari tokoh lain seperti Anies Baswedan, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyoni, hingga Gibran Rakabuming Raka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Jika pemilihan presiden dilakukan sekarang, besar kemungkinan Prabowo Subianto tidak akan terpilih kembali,&#8221; kata Saidiman Ahmad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gambar tersebut ditunjukkan berbagai simulasi dalam survei nasional Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) awal Oktober 2026. Survei ini mewawancarai 1.213 responden yang dipilih secara acak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sebanyak 1.013 di antaranya diwawancara lewat telepon, dan 200 lainnya secara tatap muka untuk menjangkau warga yang tidak memiliki telepon seluler. Margin of error survei ini sekitar \u00b12,9 persen pada tingkat kepercayaan 95 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dalam simulasi semi terbuka, responden diberi daftar 24 nama tokoh dan boleh menuliskan nama lain di luar daftar itu. Hasilnya, Prabowo hanya didukung 9,8 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Angka itu bersaing ketat dengan Anies Baswedan (10,3 persen) dan Gibran Rakabuming Raka (8,4 persen).<br\/>Sementara itu, Dedi Mulyadi (KDM) jauh meninggalkan semuanya dengan 35,5 persen. Seorang presiden petahana kini berada di kelompok yang sama dengan tokoh-tokoh berdukungan sekitar 10 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dalam simulasi head to head dengan Dedi Mulyadi, Prabowo hanya didukung 18,8 persen, sementara Dedi 69,3 persen. Padahal pada survei Februari\u2013Maret 2026, Prabowo masih unggul 50,5 persen berbanding 42,6 persen. Pada Juli 2026 keadaan berbalik: Dedi naik menjadi 59 persen dan Prabowo turun ke 28,3 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pada Oktober, jaraknya makin lebar. Dalam delapan bulan, posisi Prabowo merosot dari unggul menjadi tertinggal lebih dari 50 poin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Mungkin ada yang berpikir bahwa suara Prabowo hanya diambil Dedi Mulyadi, yang juga kader Gerindra. Kalau Dedi tidak maju, bukankah suaranya akan kembali ke Prabowo?&#8221; kata Saidiman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SMRC kata dia telah menguji kemungkinan ini dengan simulasi tiga nama tanpa Dedi: Prabowo, Gibran, dan AHY.<br\/>Hasilnya, Gibran mendapat 29,7 persen, AHY 28,2 persen, dan Prabowo 22,7 persen. Sisanya, 19,4 persen, tidak menjawab.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dugaan itu ternyata keliru. Gibran dan AHY bersaing ketat satu sama lain, tetapi keduanya sama-sama unggul atas Prabowo.<\/p>\n<center\/>\t        \n\n\n\t\t\t<!-- .entry-footer -->\n\t\t<\/div>\r\n<br>\r\n<br><a href=\"https:\/\/fajar.co.id\/2026\/10\/18\/sinyal-bahaya-jangankan-dengan-kdm-prabowo-subianto-juga-kalah-dari-gibran-dan-ahy\/\">Source link <\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA &#8212; Tingkat kesukaan masyarakat terhadap Presiden Prabowo Subianto semakin merosot dari hari ke hari. Hal itu tercermin dari<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30426,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-150x150.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-300x300.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg","large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg","colormag-highlighted-post":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-392x272.jpg","colormag-featured-post-medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-390x205.jpg","colormag-featured-post-small":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-130x90.jpg","colormag-featured-image":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg","colormag-default-news":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-150x150.jpg","colormag-featured-image-large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"Redaksi","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA &#8212; Tingkat kesukaan masyarakat terhadap Presiden Prabowo Subianto semakin merosot dari hari ke hari. Hal itu tercermin dari","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["News"],"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210.jpg",400,400,false],"medium":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-300x300.jpg",300,300,true],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/20240525_113210-150x150.jpg",150,150,true]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"Redaksi","author_link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/author\/neno\/"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30425"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30425\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30426"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}