{"id":27517,"date":"2026-09-19T07:28:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-19T00:28:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/2026\/09\/19\/loyalis-jokowi-bongkar-pola-pemilu-langsung-demokrat-dan-pdip-sama-sama-naik-karena-figur\/"},"modified":"2026-09-19T07:28:50","modified_gmt":"2026-09-19T00:28:50","slug":"loyalis-jokowi-bongkar-pola-pemilu-langsung-demokrat-dan-pdip-sama-sama-naik-karena-figur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/2026\/09\/19\/loyalis-jokowi-bongkar-pola-pemilu-langsung-demokrat-dan-pdip-sama-sama-naik-karena-figur\/","title":{"rendered":"Loyalis Jokowi Bongkar Pola Pemilu Langsung: Demokrat dan PDIP Sama-Sama Naik Karena Figur"},"content":{"rendered":" \r\n<br><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fajar.co.id\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN.jpg\" \/><br><div>\n\t\t\t\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>PORTALUTAMA.NET <\/em>\u2013 Dede Budhyarto mengingatkan publik untuk belajar dari sejarah pemilu langsung di Indonesia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Menurutnya, kenaikan suara partai bukan karena mantra atau teori konspirasi, melainkan karena efek ekor jas atau coattail effect dari figur calon presiden yang dipilih rakyat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Belajar dari pemilu langsung. Partai naik karena figur yang dipilih rakyat. Bukan karena mantra, apalagi teori konspirasi ala netizen sontoloyo,&#8221; tegas Dede dalam unggahannya, Sabtu, 19 September 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mantan Komisaris Independen PT Pelni ini membeberkan data untuk membuktikan polanya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>1. Era Demokrat + SBY<\/em><br\/>Pada 2004, Demokrat yang kala itu masih partai baru hanya meraih 7,45 persen suara. Lima tahun kemudian, di 2009, suaranya meledak menjadi 20,85 persen atau naik hampir tiga kali lipat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lonjakan itu berbanding lurus dengan suara SBY yang menang telak 60,62 persen (2004) dan 60,80 persen (2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Begitu SBY selesai menjabat, Demokrat langsung terjun bebas ke 10,19 persen pada Pemilu 2014.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>2. Era PDIP + Jokowi<\/em><br\/>Pola yang sama terjadi di PDIP. Saat bersama Jokowi, PDIP meraih 18,95 persen (2014) dan 19,33 persen (2019).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jokowi sendiri meraih 53,15 persen dan 55,50 persen di dua pemilu tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Namun pada 2024, ketika Jokowi condong ke Prabowo, suara PDIP turun menjadi 16,72 persen. Calon yang diusung PDIP, Ganjar Pranowo, hanya meraih 16,47 persen, nyaris identik dengan suara partainya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Loyalis Jokowi ini menyimpulkan, figur presidenlah yang mengangkat mesin partai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Pola yang sama: Figur presiden mengangkat mesin partai. Figur selesai, partai turun. Demokrat meledak karena mulai dari partai baru. PDIP sudah besar, jadi naiknya sedang, jatuhnya sedang,&#8221; jelasnya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ia pun melihat Pemilu 2029 akan menjadi pembuktian nyata dari teori tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Pertaruhan sesungguhnya ada di 2029, PDI-P tanpa Jokowi vs PSI dengan Jokowi,&#8221; pungkasnya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">(Elva\/Fajar)<\/p>\n\t        \n\n\n\t\t\t<!-- .entry-footer -->\n\t\t<\/div>\r\n<br>\r\n<br><a href=\"https:\/\/fajar.co.id\/2026\/09\/19\/loyalis-jokowi-bongkar-pola-pemilu-langsung-demokrat-dan-pdip-sama-sama-naik-karena-figur\/\">Source link <\/a>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PORTALUTAMA.NET \u2013 Dede Budhyarto mengingatkan publik untuk belajar dari sejarah pemilu langsung di Indonesia. Menurutnya, kenaikan suara partai bukan karena<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27518,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-150x150.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-300x200.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-768x512.jpg","large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-1024x682.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN.jpg","colormag-highlighted-post":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-392x272.jpg","colormag-featured-post-medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-390x205.jpg","colormag-featured-post-small":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-130x90.jpg","colormag-featured-image":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-800x445.jpg","colormag-default-news":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-150x150.jpg","colormag-featured-image-large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-1400x600.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"Redaksi","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"PORTALUTAMA.NET \u2013 Dede Budhyarto mengingatkan publik untuk belajar dari sejarah pemilu langsung di Indonesia. Menurutnya, kenaikan suara partai bukan karena","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["News"],"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN.jpg",1400,933,false],"medium":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Warga-menggunakan-hak-pilihnya-pada-Pemilu-2024.-Foto-Ricardo-JPNN-150x150.jpg",150,150,true]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"Redaksi","author_link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/author\/neno\/"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27517","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27517"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27517\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27518"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27517"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27517"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27517"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}