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PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA \u2014 Perbedaan hasil survei tingkat kepuasan publik terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Presiden Prabowo Subianto menjadi sorotan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dua lembaga, Indonesia Political Opinion (IPO) dan Tempo Data Science, merilis hasil survei dengan angka yang terpaut cukup jauh meski periode penelitian dan jumlah responden disebut relatif berdekatan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Strategis media dan konsultan politik Muchlis Ainur Rofik turut menyoroti perbedaan tersebut melalui akun X pribadinya.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Approval Rating IPO vs Tempo,” tulis Muchlis dalam unggahannya yang dikutip Kamis (3\/9\/2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Survei IPO yang dirilis pada Agustus 2026 mencatat tingkat kepuasan publik terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Prabowo Subianto mencapai 63 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sementara survei Tempo Data Science yang dirilis pada akhir Agustus 2026 menunjukkan angka kepuasan terhadap pemerintahan Prabowo Subianto dan Wakil Presiden Gibran Rakabuming Raka sebesar 37 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Artinya, terdapat selisih sekitar 26 poin persentase antara hasil kedua survei tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Muchlis juga menyoroti kesamaan dasar metodologi yang disebutnya dimiliki kedua survei, terutama dari sisi waktu pelaksanaan dan jumlah responden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“IPO dan Tempo melakukan survei di waktu yang sama: Akhir Juli ke Agustus,” ujar Muchlis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ia menyebut survei IPO melibatkan sekitar 1.200 responden, sedangkan Tempo Data Science menggunakan sekitar 1.260 responden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Jumlah respondennya juga dekat: IPO 1200, Tempo 1260. Margin of Errornya sama, 2,9%,” kata Muchlis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Perbedaan hasil sebesar puluhan poin tersebut menjadi perhatian karena margin of error pada survei tidak secara otomatis menjelaskan mengapa dua penelitian dapat menghasilkan angka yang terpaut jauh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Margin of error menggambarkan tingkat ketidakpastian statistik dalam pengambilan sampel. Sementara perbedaan hasil survei dapat dipengaruhi berbagai faktor, mulai dari metode pengambilan sampel, karakteristik responden, penyusunan pertanyaan, teknik pengumpulan data, periode lapangan, hingga metode pembobotan dan pengolahan data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Karena itu, hasil survei tidak cukup dibandingkan hanya berdasarkan jumlah responden dan margin of error.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Muchlis kemudian membandingkan hasil tersebut dengan survei lembaga lain yang dilakukan dalam periode berdekatan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ia menyebut hasil survei Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) dan Indikator Politik Indonesia menunjukkan perbedaan yang lebih tipis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Lihat hasil survei SMRC dan Indikator yang waktunya berdekatan. Hasilnya beda tipis, masuk margin of error,” ujar Muchlis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Muchlis meminta media membantu publik memahami penyebab perbedaan hasil survei IPO dan Tempo Data Science.<\/p>\n PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA \u2014 Perbedaan hasil survei tingkat kepuasan publik terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Presiden Prabowo Subianto menjadi sorotan. Dua lembaga, Indonesia<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":25896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-150x150.webp","medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-300x185.webp","medium_large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-768x474.webp","large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-1024x631.webp","1536x1536":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp.webp","2048x2048":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp.webp","colormag-highlighted-post":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-392x272.webp","colormag-featured-post-medium":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-390x205.webp","colormag-featured-post-small":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-130x90.webp","colormag-featured-image":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-800x445.webp","colormag-default-news":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-150x150.webp","colormag-featured-image-large":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-1200x600.webp"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"Redaksi","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"PORTALUTAMA.NET, JAKARTA \u2014 Perbedaan hasil survei tingkat kepuasan publik terhadap kinerja pemerintahan Presiden Prabowo Subianto menjadi sorotan. Dua lembaga, Indonesia","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["News"],"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp.webp",1200,740,false],"medium":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-300x185.webp",300,185,true],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/portalutama.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Presiden-Prabowo.webp-150x150.webp",150,150,true]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"Redaksi","author_link":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/author\/neno\/"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b7471c990eaf3bbb9eb8588768e7506fe3240b053ad738bae905f94f0ebd1eb0?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"News<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25895"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25895\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalutama.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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